vrijdag 20 februari 2009

My Friday 20th trading day


Down was down but nit near it lows when I got home from work.

Waiting for a drop, and yes it dropped to 7275 when I bought the Nikkei NIYH9 at 7215.

Guess what happened? The dow just continued to got down to the 7225 area.

Damn the Nikkei went to 7160.





Ar 7225 it toouched a descending trendline, yeah support!!!

It goes back up. The Nikkei also to the 7235 area. I got out at 7230. A profit of 15 ticks.

I got out when we were at the upper descending trend line at 7300. Then the dow went lower again. Yeah what a trader i was. I bought the Nikkey again and went out every time with 5 ticks profit.

Then the dow sky rocketed when it went throughthe line of reistance.

Damn!!!!!


AT the lowet point I also bought the EMXCME at 491, got out at 494 just as the dow passed through resistance. Only 142$ profit i didn't get the extra 300$.

My trading profit are thus 8000 yen and 142$.

That is about the double I earn in a day work, but it could have been much higher.

The descending VIX was a pretty good indicator maybe to see the signal that we would break resistance on the upside.

No evening trading today, so i will probably not engage in another trade.

Conclusion for this week: I buy always too soon and sell to soon, just before the break out.

That is typical: when at loss I would be more happy to exit the trade at zero loss.

I have become a heating oil trader now

On Tuesday, February 17 th 2009, I decided to trade the HO (heating oil market).

I guess that the electronic market I see at InteractiveBrokers is not the primary market: the bid/ask changes rapidly but hardly any traders.

On Tuesday, oil was going down and heating oil went from 1.3 to 1.20, time for some action!

I planned to buy at 1.20, but my order wasn't filled, I cancelled it.

Then oil sank further and HO went below 1.19 , I bought at 1.1866.

Again too soon as it went lower to the 1.18 area. Buyers at 1.18 could start trading in-and out. But I was in too high.
It went even to the low 1.17, where I bought twice and sold twice wit a little profit (Less than 10 ticks). Spread was very high and almost after each sell I did, price went up, sometimes 75 ticks.

My initial position didn't get closed that day. Since I have no access during working time to InteractiveBrokers, I put in a sell at 1.1869 (to recover cost).

I got filled at 10h54 AM local time Brussels.

My loss of almost 700$ was gone and turned at the end in a little profit.

So far the HO trading.

The next day it went to 1.1381, so if position was not closed losses would have bee, up to 2000$!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Potential trader be aware, losses are much more easier than profits.



Days after lead to wild jumps in prices, the real trader would have made a month's pay in one day.






maandag 16 februari 2009

NIYH9 sold for 7735 yen

At the 6000 yen profit after selling it at 7735 this afternoon.

Will try to buy it lower this evening/night.

vrijdag 13 februari 2009

Lost a week pay check this week!!!!!!!!!!!

Had several opportunities to sel the Nikkei future, but hoped that the DJ would break out on the upside.
Bought low , could have sold mnay times high and bought low again.

Am to much influenced by James Mound who thinks the stock market will rally.

I lost my 30000 yen in profits today!!!!!!!!!!!! Damn!!

DJ collapses!!


Damn , profit of 32500yen is now loss of 20.000yen.

Greed is not good. Could have several times sold with profit, and now at a loss

I would have made break even on the oil trade.

DJ went from -60 to -150 in a few minutes, wiping out my Nikkei profits.

QMH9 doesn't move anymore, this should normally have collapsed.

I will go over the weekend for the Nikkei.

I have to check but i think Wallstreet is closed on next Monday, maybe the Nikkei will not fall too much.

The technical signs were there but I was too emotional. Have to take the losses with me this weekend.

See how the right timing brings you profit, and if greedy losses.


7660a/7665a for the Nikkei; almost 100 points in difference.
21h22 trading evening almost finished. In case of losses, there are more interesting things to do than trading, when winning it feels much better.

I will put on Live365.com for some country music.

My 125.000 yen on my account (all earned !) will not increase this day, it will shrink i fear.

Another rising trendline at around 7845 now the DJ.
NIY at 7720b/7730a

Just break even now. DJ at upwards resistance at 7865. Get up DJ get Up!

Above resistance now.

Back at resistance.

am too much involved here , bad trader people would say. No emotions.

BACK BELOW RESISTANCE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

At a loss again after 30 points profit.

DJ at critical junction, 15 minutes regular trading to go.

KDUS.OB

Another holding is KDUS.OB.

Got in at 1.21$ 1000 shares. Is now at 1.42$

Should have bought more, has 1.95$ in cash per share. There is no reaso why such a stock should fall, because they are not burning cash.

This will go out at 1.75$ or so.